Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)GAIN Park Stadium, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Alanyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Alanyaspor (1,943) and Başakşehir (2,038).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alanyaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Başakşehir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 3, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alanyaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Başakşehir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Alanyaspor 1-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Alanyaspor 5-4 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Başakşehir 4-2 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Başakşehir 3-2 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Alanyaspor 2-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alanyaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alanyaspor sit 5th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Alanyaspor.
- Where and when is Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir played?
- Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir is played on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at GAIN Park Stadium, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.