Fenerbahçe vs Amed: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Amed. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Amed?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (2,176 vs 1,916).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fenerbahçe vs Amed
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 19V. Muriqi
- 11M. Greenwood
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 91N. Kanté
- 7K. Aktürkoğlu
- 10Marco Asensio
- 3A. Brown
- 37M. Škriniar
- 15N. Aké
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 31Ederson
Amed
4-2-3-1- 99G. Orban
- 91D. Sabia
- 22R. Raveloson
- 10S. Ballet
- 8F. Soyalp
- 74M. Khalil
- 5L. Dellova
- 4D. Bates
- 7E. Krasniqi
- 17U. Meraş
- 40A. Lafont
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fenerbahçe have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Amed have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 8-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 3-2 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 5-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Trabzonspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fenerbahçe wins, 2 draws, 0 Amed wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | Fenerbahçe 3-0 Amed | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 15, 2016 | Amed 1-1 Fenerbahçe | Türkiye Kupası |
| Mar 3, 2016 | Fenerbahçe 3-1 Amed | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 9, 2016 | Amed 3-3 Fenerbahçe | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Fenerbahçe score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Amed score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Amed | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fenerbahçe sit 4th in Süper Lig (13 points from 7 matches) and Amed sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 14 |
| 4 | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 |
A question about Fenerbahçe vs Amed?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fenerbahçe vs Amed?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Amed.
- Where and when is Fenerbahçe vs Amed played?
- Fenerbahçe vs Amed is played on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Chobani Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.