Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
The Footlab AI model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Kocaelispor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kasımpaşa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Kocaelispor (1,932) and Kasımpaşa (1,981).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kocaelispor
4-3-3- 97F. Ayé
- 32M. Baku
- 11Gonçalo Santos Sousa
- 14Show
- 10B. Kutlu
- 20Mahamadou Susoho Sissoho
- 22U. Yıldız
- 5E. Ortakaya
- 2A. Dijksteel
- 99R. Rivas
- 83S. Öztaşdelen
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1- 9A. Benedyczak
- 26K. Demirbay
- 7A. Kol
- 51Elson Mendes
- 17J. Rak-Sakyi
- 10H. Hajradinović
- 2Cláudio Winck
- 27M. Ilie
- 45A. Karapo
- 4A. Arous
- 1A. Gianniotis
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 02:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kocaelispor have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Kasımpaşa have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home) | 3-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Alanyaspor(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 3-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 4-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Kocaelispor wins, 2 draws, 3 Kasımpaşa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 1-1 Kocaelispor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Kasımpaşa 2-0 Kocaelispor | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Kocaelispor 0-0 Kasımpaşa | Süper Lig |
| Dec 28, 2021 | Kasımpaşa 5-3 Kocaelispor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Nov 1, 2012 | Kasımpaşa 5-0 Kocaelispor | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kocaelispor score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kasımpaşa score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Kasımpaşa | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kocaelispor sit 7th in Süper Lig (19 points from 11 matches) and Kasımpaşa sit 5th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kasımpaşa | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
A question about Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kasımpaşa the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Kocaelispor.
- Where and when is Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa played?
- Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa is played on January 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.