Ezra vs Shan United: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipPlay-offsKick-off on September 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Lane Xang Stadium, NongHai Village
The Footlab model makes Ezra the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Shan United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ezra vs Shan United?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Ezra (1,500) and Shan United (1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ezra have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Shan United have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Young Elephant(home) | 1-6 | Lao League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Luangprabang FC(away) | 4-1 | Lao League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Master 7(home) | 4-2 | Lao League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Salavan United(away) | 2-1 | Lao League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Lao Army(away) | 3-0 | Lao League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Hantharwady United(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Sagaing United(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Yarmanya United(home) | 5-0 | National League |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Rakhine United(away) | 6-0 | National League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | I.S.P.E(away) | 6-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ezra win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Shan United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Shan United 1-0 Ezra | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ezra 1-2 Shan United | ASEAN Club Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ezra score 2.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shan United score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra | 2.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Shan United | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shan United | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ezra vs Shan United?
- The Footlab model makes Ezra the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Shan United.
- Where and when is Ezra vs Shan United played?
- Ezra vs Shan United is played on September 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Lane Xang Stadium, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.