Shan United vs Ezra: prediction and stats
ASEAN Club ChampionshipPlay-offsKick-off on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Taunggyi Stadium, Taunggyi
The Footlab model makes Shan United the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Ezra. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shan United vs Ezra?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Shan United (1,595) and Ezra (1,500).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shan United have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ezra have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Hantharwady United(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Sagaing United(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Yarmanya United(home) | 5-0 | National League |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Rakhine United(away) | 6-0 | National League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | I.S.P.E(away) | 6-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Young Elephant(home) | 1-6 | Lao League |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Luangprabang FC(away) | 4-1 | Lao League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Master 7(home) | 4-2 | Lao League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Salavan United(away) | 2-1 | Lao League |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Lao Army(away) | 3-0 | Lao League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Shan United win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ezra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Shan United 1-0 Ezra | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Ezra 1-2 Shan United | ASEAN Club Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Shan United score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ezra score 2.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shan United | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Ezra | 2.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shan United | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shan United vs Ezra?
- The Footlab model makes Shan United the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Ezra.
- Where and when is Shan United vs Ezra played?
- Shan United vs Ezra is played on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Taunggyi Stadium, in the ASEAN Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.