Fakel vs Rubin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, Voronezh
The Footlab AI model makes Rubin the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fakel. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rubin wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fakel vs Rubin?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Fakel (1,854) and Rubin (1,935).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fakel vs Rubin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fakel
3-4-3- 11A. Sutormin
- 17A. Kovalev
- 7M. Turishchev
- 55D. Todorović
- 23V. Yakimov
- 97B. Magomedov
- 8A. Bagamaev
- 5A. Gabaraev
- 40Clayton
- 53M. Bardachev
- 1D. Frolkin
Rubin
5-4-1- 43J. Siwe
- 22V. Hodža
- 11N. Gripshi
- 14I. Saavedra
- 71I. Samoshnikov
- 13J. Urozov
- 51I. Rozhkov
- 12A. Arroyo
- 5I. Vujačić
- 98N. Lobov
- 38E. Staver
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fakel have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Rubin have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Spartak Moscow(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Akhmat(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fakel win, 1 draw, 4 Rubin wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Rubin 2-1 Fakel | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Rubin 0-1 Fakel | Cup |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Fakel 0-0 Rubin | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Fakel 0-2 Rubin | Cup |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Rubin 1-0 Fakel | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Fakel 0-1 Rubin | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fakel score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rubin score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Rubin | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fakel sit 16th in Premier League (3 points from 10 matches) and Rubin sit 6th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rubin | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fakel | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
A question about Fakel vs Rubin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fakel vs Rubin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rubin the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Fakel.
- Where and when is Fakel vs Rubin played?
- Fakel vs Rubin is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.