Spartak Moscow vs Baltika: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 26Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lukoil Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Baltika. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs Baltika?
Spartak Moscow starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (2,104 vs 1,956).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Spartak Moscow vs Baltika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Spartak Moscow
4-2-3-1- 9M. Ugalde
- 18N. Umyarov
- 7P. Solari
- 5E. Barco
- 83Gedson Fernandes
- 25D. Prutsev
- 47R. Zobnin
- 6S. Babić
- 3C. Wooh
- 33Víctor Parada
- 98A. Maksimenko
Baltika
5-4-1- 91B. Gil
- 10I. Petrov
- 7K. Shiltsov
- 73M. Petrov
- 26I. Belikov
- 22M. Beveev
- 24L. Mouyokolo
- 21E. Anderson
- 77E. Ćivić
- 4N. Gassama
- 1E. Latyshonok
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Moscow have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Baltika have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Akron(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rubin(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Akron(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Zenit(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Rostov(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Spartak Moscow wins, 0 draws, 3 Baltika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baltika 1-2 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Baltika 1-0 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Spartak Moscow 0-3 Baltika | Premier League |
| May 14, 2024 | Baltika 1-0 Spartak Moscow | Cup |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Baltika 0-2 Spartak Moscow | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2023 | Spartak Moscow 2-1 Baltika | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Baltika vs Spartak Moscow on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Moscow score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Baltika score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Baltika | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Moscow sit 3rd in Premier League (29 points from 14 matches) and Baltika sit 9th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 29 |
| 9 | Baltika | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 17 |
A question about Spartak Moscow vs Baltika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Moscow vs Baltika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Moscow the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Baltika.
- Where and when is Spartak Moscow vs Baltika played?
- Spartak Moscow vs Baltika is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lukoil Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.