Farense vs Feirense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio de São Lúis, Faro
The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Feirense. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farense vs Feirense?
Farense starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,048 vs 1,918).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Farense vs Feirense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Farense
4-3-3- 7João Resende
- 17André Candeias
- 11Nélson Oliveira
- 27Mattheus Oliveira
- 29Cláudio Falcão
- 10S. Singh
- 78Alex Pinto
- 22Toni Herrero
- 44N. Zolotić
- 37Gonçalo Silva
- 97F. Buntić
Feirense
4-3-3- 19Alexandre Guedes
- 47Piri
- 7Arthur Viana
- 22Samad Popoola
- 77Gui Meira
- 27Tiago Castro
- 14Pedro Pinto
- 4Antonio Leal
- 20João Oliveira
- 15Diego Moreno
- 26Diego Altube
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Feirense have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sacavenense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Farense win, 2 draws, 3 Feirense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Farense 0-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Feirense 0-0 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Feirense 1-2 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Farense 0-0 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 8, 2022 | Feirense 4-1 Farense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Farense 0-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Farense score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Feirense score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farense | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Feirense | 0.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farense sit 4th in Segunda Liga (11 points from 6 matches) and Feirense sit 18th (1 point from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
A question about Farense vs Feirense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farense vs Feirense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Farense the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Feirense.
- Where and when is Farense vs Feirense played?
- Farense vs Feirense is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio de São Lúis, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.