Tondela vs Torreense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Torreense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tondela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tondela vs Torreense?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Tondela (2,050) and Torreense (2,094).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tondela vs Torreense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tondela
4-3-3- 19Tómané
- 26A. van der Heide
- 17G. Novero
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 15Carraça
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Torreense
4-3-3- 17M. Drammeh
- 11Manu Pozo
- 47A. Baradji
- 7D. Jean
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 22David Bruno
- 2Stopira
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 3Juan María Alcedo
- 31Adriel
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 09:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tondela have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Torreense have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tondela wins, 3 draws, 1 Torreense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Tondela 2-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Torreense 0-2 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Torreense 0-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Torreense 1-1 Tondela | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Tondela 1-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Tondela 1-1 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tondela score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Torreense score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Torreense | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tondela sit 10th in Segunda Liga (9 points from 6 matches) and Torreense sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tondela | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Torreense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Tondela vs Torreense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tondela vs Torreense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Torreense.
- Where and when is Tondela vs Torreense played?
- Tondela vs Torreense is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Estádio João Cardoso, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.