Leixoes vs FC Porto B: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos
The Footlab model makes Leixoes the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FC Porto B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leixoes vs FC Porto B?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Leixoes (1,916) and FC Porto B (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leixoes have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; FC Porto B have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 6-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Leixoes win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 FC Porto B win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | FC Porto B 0-3 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Leixoes 2-4 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FC Porto B 0-1 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Leixoes 3-0 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FC Porto B 0-2 Leixoes | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Leixoes 1-3 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Porto B vs Leixoes on Apr 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leixoes score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto B score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leixoes | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Porto B | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leixoes sit 10th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Porto B sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leixoes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leixoes vs FC Porto B?
- The Footlab model makes Leixoes the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for FC Porto B.
- Where and when is Leixoes vs FC Porto B played?
- Leixoes vs FC Porto B is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Mar, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.