Match

Farnham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 39Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey

Farnham TownHemel Hempstead Town

The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hemel Hempstead Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,904) and Hemel Hempstead Town (1,839).

Farnham Town win52 %
Draw24 %
Hemel Hempstead Town win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Hemel Hempstead Town have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-4National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Slough Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026AFC Totton(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Eastleigh(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Hemel Hempstead Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Salisbury(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidenhead(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Farnborough(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026St Albans City(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hemel Hempstead Town score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnham Town1.61.149/158/15
Hemel Hempstead Town1.10.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnham Town sit 19th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Hemel Hempstead Town sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hemel Hempstead Town4211537
19Farnham Town4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Hemel Hempstead Town.
Where and when is Farnham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town played?
Farnham Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnham Town and Hemel Hempstead Town

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