Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,899) and Weston-super-Mare (1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eastleigh(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dover(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnham Town | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Weston-super-Mare | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farnham Town sit 19th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 7 |
| 19 | Farnham Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Weston-super-Mare.
- Where and when is Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare played?
- Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Dagenham & RedbridgevsHampton & Richmond
- Sep 26, 2026Maidstone UtdvsTruro City
- Sep 26, 2026DovervsAFC Totton
- Sep 26, 2026Billericay TownvsTorquay
- Sep 26, 2026Slough TownvsHemel Hempstead Town
- Sep 26, 2026Chelmsford CityvsHorsham
- Sep 26, 2026Chesham UnitedvsMaidenhead
- Sep 26, 2026SalisburyvsFolkestone Invicta