Match

Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Memorial Ground Farnham, Farnham, Surrey

Farnham TownWeston-super-Mare

The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Weston-super-Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Farnham Town (1,899) and Weston-super-Mare (1,829).

Farnham Town win53 %
Draw24 %
Weston-super-Mare win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnham Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Weston-super-Mare have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnham Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Billericay Town(home)2-4National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Slough Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026AFC Totton(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Eastleigh(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Weston-super-Mare
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dover(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Torquay(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)3-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Chesham United(home)3-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Gloucester City(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Farnham Town score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnham Town1.61.149/158/15
Weston-super-Mare1.20.975/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnham Town sit 19th in National League - South (3 points from 4 matches) and Weston-super-Mare sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Weston-super-Mare4211837
19Farnham Town4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?
The Footlab model makes Farnham Town the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Weston-super-Mare.
Where and when is Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare played?
Farnham Town vs Weston-super-Mare is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Memorial Ground Farnham, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnham Town and Weston-super-Mare

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