Farsta vs Karlslund: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Farsta IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Farsta the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Karlslund. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farsta vs Karlslund?
Farsta starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,364).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farsta have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Karlslund have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nyköping(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Haninge(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rågsved(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Eker Örebro(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Haninge(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Smedby(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sleipner(away) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Fittja(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Farsta win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Karlslund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Karlslund 1-0 Farsta | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Farsta 1-0 Karlslund | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Karlslund 2-1 Farsta | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Farsta score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Karlslund score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsta | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Karlslund | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farsta sit 5th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (22 points from 12 matches) and Karlslund sit 13th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Farsta | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Farsta | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 22 |
| 9 | Karlslund | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
| 13 | Karlslund | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farsta vs Karlslund?
- The Footlab model makes Farsta the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Karlslund.
- Where and when is Farsta vs Karlslund played?
- Farsta vs Karlslund is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Farsta IP, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.