Örebro Syrianska vs Nyköping: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Örnsro IP, Örebro
The Footlab model makes Nyköping the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Örebro Syrianska. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Örebro Syrianska vs Nyköping?
Nyköping starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,530 vs 1,405).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Örebro Syrianska have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Nyköping have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Farsta(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nacka Iliria(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forward(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Smedby(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 24, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haninge(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farsta(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sleipner(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Forward(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Nacka Iliria(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Örebro Syrianska win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Nyköping win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Nyköping 3-0 Örebro Syrianska | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Örebro Syrianska 2-0 Nyköping | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 17, 2020 | Nyköping 2-2 Örebro Syrianska | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: Nyköping vs Örebro Syrianska on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Örebro Syrianska score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nyköping score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Örebro Syrianska | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Nyköping | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Örebro Syrianska sit 9th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (13 points from 12 matches) and Nyköping sit 1st (25 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nyköping | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Nyköping | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 33 |
| 9 | Örebro Syrianska | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 11 | Örebro Syrianska | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 22 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Örebro Syrianska vs Nyköping?
- The Footlab model makes Nyköping the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Örebro Syrianska.
- Where and when is Örebro Syrianska vs Nyköping played?
- Örebro Syrianska vs Nyköping is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Örnsro IP, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.