Smedby vs Fittja: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Norrköping
The Footlab model makes Smedby the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Fittja. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smedby vs Fittja?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Smedby (1,492) and Fittja (1,484).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smedby have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fittja have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Syrianska FC(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eker Örebro(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eker Örebro(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rågsved(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Haninge(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Smedby win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fittja win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Fittja 5-3 Smedby | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Smedby score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fittja score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smedby | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Fittja | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smedby sit 3rd in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (23 points from 12 matches) and Fittja sit 8th (19 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Smedby | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 23 |
| 6 | Smedby | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Fittja | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Fittja | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smedby vs Fittja?
- The Footlab model makes Smedby the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Fittja.
- Where and when is Smedby vs Fittja played?
- Smedby vs Fittja is played on September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.