Farsta vs Nacka Iliria: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 19Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Farsta IP, Stockholm
The Footlab model makes Farsta the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Nacka Iliria. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Farsta vs Nacka Iliria?
Farsta starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,393).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farsta have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nacka Iliria have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nyköping(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Haninge(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rågsved(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Eker Örebro(away) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Forward(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eker Örebro(away) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lindo FF(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Nyköping(away) | 1-4 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Farsta win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nacka Iliria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Nacka Iliria 3-2 Farsta | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Nacka Iliria 1-1 Farsta | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Farsta 2-3 Nacka Iliria | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
Last archived meeting: Nacka Iliria vs Farsta on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Farsta score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacka Iliria score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsta | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Nacka Iliria | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Farsta sit 5th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (22 points from 12 matches) and Nacka Iliria sit 14th (7 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Farsta | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Farsta | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Nacka Iliria | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
| 14 | Nacka Iliria | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Farsta vs Nacka Iliria?
- The Footlab model makes Farsta the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Nacka Iliria.
- Where and when is Farsta vs Nacka Iliria played?
- Farsta vs Nacka Iliria is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Farsta IP, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.