Smedby vs Forward: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 19Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Norrköping
The Footlab model makes Smedby the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Forward. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smedby vs Forward?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Smedby (1,492) and Forward (1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smedby have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Forward have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Syrianska FC(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eker Örebro(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nacka Iliria(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Syrianska FC(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nyköping(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Rågsved(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Smedby win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Forward win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Forward 0-2 Smedby | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Forward 3-3 Smedby | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Smedby 3-3 Forward | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Smedby score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Forward score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smedby | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Forward | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smedby sit 3rd in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (23 points from 12 matches) and Forward sit 4th (23 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forward | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 36 |
| 3 | Smedby | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Forward | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | Smedby | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smedby vs Forward?
- The Footlab model makes Smedby the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Forward.
- Where and when is Smedby vs Forward played?
- Smedby vs Forward is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.