Match

Fasil Ketema vs Gamo Chencha: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Fasiledes Stadium, Gondar

Fasil KetemaGamo Chencha

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Fasil Ketema, 37% for a draw, 30% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,838 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fasil Ketema vs Gamo Chencha?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Fasil Ketema (1,514) and Gamo Chencha (1,449).

33%37%30%
Fasil Ketema winDrawGamo Chencha win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fasil Ketema vs Gamo Chencha

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fasil Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Fasil Ketema lineup.

Gamo Chencha

Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fasil Ketema have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gamo Chencha have 0, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fasil Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)0-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)1-0Premier League
Jun 26, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)0-1Premier League
Gamo Chencha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Mekelakeya(home)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Ethiopian Medhin(home)0-2Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Fasil Ketema score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gamo Chencha score 0.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 21% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fasil Ketema0.71.064/154/15
Gamo Chencha0.01.010/30/3

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fasil Ketema sit 15th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Gamo Chencha sit 17th (1 point from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Fasil Ketema3021122
17Gamo Chencha3012031

A question about Fasil Ketema vs Gamo Chencha?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fasil Ketema vs Gamo Chencha?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 33% for Fasil Ketema, 37% for a draw, 30% for Gamo Chencha.
Where and when is Fasil Ketema vs Gamo Chencha played?
Fasil Ketema vs Gamo Chencha is played on May 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Fasiledes Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 21% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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