Match

Halaba Ketema vs Negelle Arsi: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

Halaba KetemaNegelle Arsi

The Footlab AI model makes Negelle Arsi the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Halaba Ketema. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Halaba Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?

Negelle Arsi starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,573 vs 1,465).

24%33%43%
Halaba Ketema winDrawNegelle Arsi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Halaba Ketema vs Negelle Arsi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Halaba Ketema

Not enough data to predict the Halaba Ketema lineup.

Negelle Arsi

Not enough data to predict the Negelle Arsi lineup.

Computed on October 29, 2026 at 09:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Halaba Ketema have 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Negelle Arsi have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Halaba Ketema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)0-6Premier League
Oct 20, 2026Fasil Ketema(home)1-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Bahardar(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home)1-1Premier League
Negelle Arsi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Adama Kenema(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 21, 2026Ethiopia Bunna(away)3-0Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)0-0Premier League
Oct 10, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Mekelle Kenema(away)0-3Premier League

How many goals should we expect?

Halaba Ketema score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Negelle Arsi score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Halaba Ketema0.82.012/41/4
Negelle Arsi1.10.985/157/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Halaba Ketema sit 9th in Premier League (5 points from 4 matches) and Negelle Arsi sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Negelle Arsi4220518
9Halaba Ketema4121385

A question about Halaba Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Halaba Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?
The Footlab AI model makes Negelle Arsi the favourite at 43%, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Halaba Ketema.
Where and when is Halaba Ketema vs Negelle Arsi played?
Halaba Ketema vs Negelle Arsi is played on May 29, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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