FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 10Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes FC Alverca II the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Os Marialvas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas?
On Elo ratings, FC Alverca II has 1,879 points and Os Marialvas 1,898.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Alverca II
4-3-3- RRodrigo Catraio
- RRafael Santos
- AAfonso Vagarinho
- PPedro Henriques
- 6Tomas Lacerda
- JJanickson da Silva
- DDiogo Ramos
- DDiogo Cordes
- FFábio Celestino
- SSimão Lamas
- 1Cristian
Os Marialvas
4-3-3- 40Y. Sonhi
- 55Paulinho
- 9A. Undonque
- 8G. Pinto
- 45G. Batalha
- 6L. Maia
- 7Gonçalo Lixa
- 10João Silva
- 3S. Fernandes
- 20A. Santos
- 32Bruno Souza
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Alverca II have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Os Marialvas have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 5-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fazendense(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ovarense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FC Alverca II wins, 2 draws, 0 Os Marialvas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | FC Alverca II 0-0 Os Marialvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Os Marialvas 1-1 FC Alverca II | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas on Apr 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Alverca II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Os Marialvas score 1.4 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Alverca II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Os Marialvas | 1.4 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Alverca II sit 10th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (6 points from 6 matches) and Os Marialvas sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Os Marialvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | FC Alverca II | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
A question about FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Alverca II the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Os Marialvas.
- Where and when is FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas played?
- FC Alverca II vs Os Marialvas is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.