Naval 1893 vs Fátima: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 10Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, Figueira da Foz
The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Fátima. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naval 1893 vs Fátima?
On Elo ratings, Naval 1893 has 1,903 points and Fátima 1,870.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naval 1893 vs Fátima
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naval 1893
Not enough data to predict the Naval 1893 lineup.
Fátima
Not enough data to predict the Fátima lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naval 1893 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Fátima have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 30, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Naval 1893 wins, 0 draws, 0 Fátima wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Fátima 0-1 Naval 1893 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Naval 1893 3-0 Fátima | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Naval 1893 score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fátima score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naval 1893 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fátima | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naval 1893 sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (6 points from 4 matches) and Fátima sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Naval 1893 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
A question about Naval 1893 vs Fátima?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naval 1893 vs Fátima?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Fátima.
- Where and when is Naval 1893 vs Fátima played?
- Naval 1893 vs Fátima is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.