FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, Ruși-Ciutea
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures?
FC Bacau starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Bacau have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; ASA Targu Mures have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 2-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 2-3 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 FC Bacau win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 ASA Targu Mures win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | FC Bacau 3-0 ASA Targu Mures | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures on Sep 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Bacau | 2.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| ASA Targu Mures | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Bacau sit 6th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and ASA Targu Mures sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Bacau | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures?
- The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for ASA Targu Mures.
- Where and when is FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures played?
- FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures is played on March 6, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027MetaloglobusvsCS Afumati
- Mar 6, 2027FC Politehnica TimisoaravsCS Dinamo București
- Mar 6, 2027CSM Ramnicu ValceavsAFC Hermannstadt
- Mar 6, 2027CSM ReşiţavsUnirea Slobozia
- Mar 6, 2027SlatinavsPopești-Leordeni
- Mar 6, 2027CSA Steaua BucureştivsŞtefăneşti
- Mar 6, 2027DumbrăviţavsConcordia
- Mar 6, 2027Bihor OradeavsChindia Targoviste