Match

FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, Ruși-Ciutea

FC BacauASA Targu Mures

The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures?

FC Bacau starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,528).

FC Bacau win55 %
Draw25 %
ASA Targu Mures win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Bacau have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; ASA Targu Mures have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Bacau
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away)2-2Liga II
Aug 19, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 16, 2026CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home)3-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Viitorul Onesti(away)3-0Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Popești-Leordeni(away)2-3Liga II
ASA Targu Mures
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gloria Bistriţa(home)1-0Liga II
Aug 19, 2026FC Politehnica Timisoara(away)1-2Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026Bihor Oradea(away)1-1Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Gheorgheni(away)2-0Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Cetatea Suceava(home)0-2Liga II

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 FC Bacau win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 ASA Targu Mures win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2025FC Bacau 3-0 ASA Targu MuresLiga II

Last archived meeting: FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures on Sep 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Bacau score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Bacau2.01.276/1511/15
ASA Targu Mures1.31.358/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Bacau sit 6th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and ASA Targu Mures sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6FC Bacau42111057
14ASA Targu Mures4112354

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures?
The Footlab model makes FC Bacau the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for ASA Targu Mures.
Where and when is FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures played?
FC Bacau vs ASA Targu Mures is played on March 6, 2027 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Baza Sportivă FC Bacău, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: FC Bacau and ASA Targu Mures

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