FC Cartagena vs Hércules: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena
The Footlab AI model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Hércules. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Hércules?
On Elo ratings, FC Cartagena has 1,926 points and Hércules 1,900.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Cartagena vs Hércules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Cartagena
4-3-3- 17Raúl Dacosta
- 10I. Ribeiro
- 16Marcos Moreno
- 8P. De Blasis
- 14Toni Villa
- 15J. Jules
- 5Imanol Baz
- 4R. Serrano
- 2Marc Jurado
- 22Nacho Martínez
- 13L. Garcia
Hércules
4-3-3- 20Andy
- 22Víctor Narro
- 11A. Jimenez
- 18Alejandro Fidalgo
- 37M. Puch-Herrantz
- 14N. Ben Hamed
- 23Javi Jiménez
- 2Samu Vázquez
- 4Javier Rentero
- 15Yago Cantero
- 13A. Blazic
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cartagena have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hércules have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Europa Fc(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 4-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Cartagena win, 0 draws, 1 Hércules win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hércules 2-0 FC Cartagena | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | FC Cartagena 2-1 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Hércules vs FC Cartagena on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cartagena score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cartagena | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hércules | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Cartagena sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (15 points from 8 matches) and Hércules sit 8th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Hércules | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
A question about FC Cartagena vs Hércules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cartagena vs Hércules?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 52%, against 29% for a draw and 19% for Hércules.
- Where and when is FC Cartagena vs Hércules played?
- FC Cartagena vs Hércules is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.