Real Madrid II vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Madrid II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid II vs Real Jaén?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Real Madrid II (1,928) and Real Jaén (1,971).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid II vs Real Jaén
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid II
4-3-3- 19A. Carvajal
- 11Ávaro Leiva
- 17A. Ciria
- 6J. Cestero Sancho
- 20R. Martin
- 16Sergio Martínez
- 2Jesús Fortea
- 3Diego Aguado
- 21O. Naasei
- 5J. Martinez
- 13Javier Navarro
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 19M. Keita
- 14C. Polo
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 18Nacho Castillo
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 17Javi Moyano
- 20Mauro Cabello
- 1J. Morillas
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Jaén have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antequera(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 3-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid II score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid II | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid II sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (16 points from 11 matches) and Real Jaén sit 3rd (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Jaén | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | Real Madrid II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
A question about Real Madrid II vs Real Jaén?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid II vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is Real Madrid II vs Real Jaén played?
- Real Madrid II vs Real Jaén is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.