FC Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Parc des Sports, Differdange
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Etzella Ettelbruck. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
FC Differdange 03 is a heavy favourite: 1,762 Elo points against 1,323, a 439-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Differdange 03 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Etzella Ettelbruck have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | UN Kaerjeng 97(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | US Hostert(away) | 1-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 0-1 | National Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 1-1 | National Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jeunesse Canach(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 FC Differdange 03 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Etzella Ettelbruck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | FC Differdange 03 6-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| May 15, 2022 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Dec 12, 2021 | FC Differdange 03 4-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Etzella Ettelbruck 0-3 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Sep 19, 2020 | FC Differdange 03 3-0 Etzella Ettelbruck | National Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck on Feb 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Etzella Ettelbruck score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Etzella Ettelbruck | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Differdange 03 sit 5th in National Division (6 points from 3 matches) and Etzella Ettelbruck sit 12th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 14 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Etzella Ettelbruck.
- Where and when is FC Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck played?
- FC Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Parc des Sports, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027F91 DudelangevsUS Hostert
- Mar 14, 2027Progres NiederkornvsWiltz
- Mar 14, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Mar 14, 2027UNA StrassenvsUS Mondorf-les-bains
- Mar 14, 2027Victoria RosportvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Mar 14, 2027Atert BissenvsUS Rumelange
- Mar 14, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsSwift Hesperange