UNA Strassen vs US Mondorf-les-bains: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, Strossen
The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for US Mondorf-les-bains. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA Strassen vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate UNA Strassen (1,680) and US Mondorf-les-bains (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA Strassen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; US Mondorf-les-bains have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progres Niederkorn(away) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(away) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(home) | 4-0 | National Division |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Jeunesse Esch(away) | 3-1 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | F91 Dudelange(home) | 1-0 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Differdange 03(home) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 UNA Strassen win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 US Mondorf-les-bains win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | UNA Strassen 0-0 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Aug 3, 2025 | US Mondorf-les-bains 0-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Mar 30, 2025 | UNA Strassen 1-3 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
| Sep 25, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | US Mondorf-les-bains 1-1 UNA Strassen | National Division |
| Aug 27, 2023 | UNA Strassen 4-2 US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division |
Last archived meeting: UNA Strassen vs US Mondorf-les-bains on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UNA Strassen score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; US Mondorf-les-bains score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA Strassen | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA Strassen sit 1st in National Division (12 points from 4 matches) and US Mondorf-les-bains sit 4th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA Strassen vs US Mondorf-les-bains?
- The Footlab model makes UNA Strassen the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for US Mondorf-les-bains.
- Where and when is UNA Strassen vs US Mondorf-les-bains played?
- UNA Strassen vs US Mondorf-les-bains is played on March 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Jean Wirtz, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027F91 DudelangevsUS Hostert
- Mar 14, 2027Progres NiederkornvsWiltz
- Mar 14, 2027FC Differdange 03vsEtzella Ettelbruck
- Mar 14, 2027AS Jeunesse EschvsRacing FC Union Luxembourg
- Mar 14, 2027Victoria RosportvsUN Kaerjeng 97
- Mar 14, 2027Atert BissenvsUS Rumelange
- Mar 14, 2027Résidence WalferdangevsSwift Hesperange