Swift Hesperange vs FC Differdange 03: prediction and stats
National DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Theis, Hesperange
The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Swift Hesperange. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swift Hesperange vs FC Differdange 03?
FC Differdange 03 is a heavy favourite: 1,762 Elo points against 1,414, a 349-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swift Hesperange have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; FC Differdange 03 have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | US Hostert(home) | 0-2 | National Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(away) | 0-5 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiltz(home) | 2-7 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Rumelange(away) | 0-1 | National Division |
| May 23, 2026 | Union Titus Petange(away) | 3-2 | National Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg(home) | 3-0 | National Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wiltz(away) | 2-1 | National Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | US Rumelange(home) | 2-0 | National Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | US Mondorf-les-bains(away) | 2-3 | National Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ilves(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Swift Hesperange win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 FC Differdange 03 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Swift Hesperange 1-5 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Oct 19, 2025 | FC Differdange 03 3-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Swift Hesperange 0-2 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 0-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | FC Differdange 03 2-0 Swift Hesperange | National Division |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Swift Hesperange 1-1 FC Differdange 03 | National Division |
Last archived meeting: Swift Hesperange vs FC Differdange 03 on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swift Hesperange score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Differdange 03 score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift Hesperange | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| FC Differdange 03 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swift Hesperange sit 16th in National Division (0 points from 3 matches) and FC Differdange 03 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Differdange 03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swift Hesperange vs FC Differdange 03?
- The Footlab model makes FC Differdange 03 the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 10% for Swift Hesperange.
- Where and when is Swift Hesperange vs FC Differdange 03 played?
- Swift Hesperange vs FC Differdange 03 is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Theis, in the National Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Racing FC Union LuxembourgvsProgres Niederkorn
- Mar 21, 2027US RumelangevsUNA Strassen
- Mar 21, 2027UN Kaerjeng 97vsF91 Dudelange
- Mar 21, 2027US Mondorf-les-bainsvsRésidence Walferdange
- Mar 21, 2027US HostertvsAS Jeunesse Esch
- Mar 21, 2027Etzella EttelbruckvsVictoria Rosport
- Mar 21, 2027WiltzvsAtert Bissen