FC Eindhoven vs Emmen: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven
The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for FC Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate FC Eindhoven (1,633) and Emmen (1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Eindhoven have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Emmen have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 2-5 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | MVV(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Jong AZ(away) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Beveren(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 6-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Roda(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Eindhoven win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Emmen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | FC Eindhoven 1-0 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Emmen 6-0 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Emmen 1-2 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 18, 2024 | FC Eindhoven 0-3 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Emmen 1-1 FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 8, 2023 | FC Eindhoven 3-2 Emmen | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: FC Eindhoven vs Emmen on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Eindhoven score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Emmen score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Emmen | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Eindhoven sit 15th in Eerste Divisie (3 points from 3 matches) and Emmen sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 1 | Emmen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?
- The Footlab model makes Emmen the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for FC Eindhoven.
- Where and when is FC Eindhoven vs Emmen played?
- FC Eindhoven vs Emmen is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Jan Louwers Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.