Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab model makes Jong Utrecht the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Jong Utrecht (1,584) and VVV Venlo (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; VVV Venlo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 3-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong Utrecht win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 VVV Venlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | Jong Utrecht 2-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 21, 2025 | VVV Venlo 0-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 0-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | VVV Venlo 3-2 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 25, 2023 | VVV Venlo 4-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo on Feb 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 18th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab model makes Jong Utrecht the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo played?
- Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo is played on September 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.