Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Jong PSV U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21?
Vitesse starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,721 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Jong PSV U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al-Jazira(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vitesse win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Jong PSV U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Jong PSV U21 0-2 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Vitesse 3-1 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 20, 2024 | Jong PSV U21 6-4 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Vitesse 1-3 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong PSV U21 vs Vitesse on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jong PSV U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Jong PSV U21 sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21?
- The Footlab model makes Vitesse the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Jong PSV U21.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 played?
- Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.