FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Orsha: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, Minsk
The Footlab model makes FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Orsha. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Orsha?
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,460 vs 1,279).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Orsha have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lida(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Niva(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BATE II(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gomel II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Orsha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Orsha 0-2 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1-1 Orsha | 1. Division |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Orsha 2-2 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
| Aug 28, 2020 | Orsha 1-6 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | Coppa |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Orsha 0-1 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
| May 5, 2018 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 4-0 Orsha | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Orsha vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Orsha score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Orsha | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk sit 4th in 1. Division (38 points from 21 matches) and Orsha sit 15th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 38 |
| 12 | Orsha | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Orsha | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 35 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Orsha?
- The Footlab model makes FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Orsha.
- Where and when is FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Orsha played?
- FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Orsha is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.