Niva vs Volna: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Volna. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niva vs Volna?
Niva starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,562 vs 1,432).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niva have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Volna have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lida(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 6-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 3-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Niva win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Volna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Volna 1-0 Niva | 1. Division |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Niva 2-4 Volna | 1. Division |
| May 26, 2025 | Volna 0-5 Niva | 1. Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Niva 1-2 Volna | 1. Division |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Volna 1-1 Niva | 1. Division |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Volna 2-3 Niva | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Niva score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Volna score 2.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niva | 2.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Volna | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niva sit 1st in 1. Division (42 points from 21 matches) and Volna sit 8th (31 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niva | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 51 | 26 | 42 |
| 8 | Volna | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 31 |
| 8 | Volna | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 9 | Niva | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niva vs Volna?
- The Footlab model makes Niva the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Volna.
- Where and when is Niva vs Volna played?
- Niva vs Volna is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.