Slonim vs BATE II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Yunatstva, Slonim
The Footlab model makes Slonim the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for BATE II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slonim vs BATE II?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Slonim (1,365) and BATE II (1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slonim have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; BATE II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volna(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volna(home) | 5-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Slonim win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 BATE II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | BATE II 2-5 Slonim | 1. Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | BATE II 4-0 Slonim | 1. Division |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Slonim 2-4 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Slonim 1-1 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Jun 8, 2024 | BATE II 0-0 Slonim | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Slonim score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; BATE II score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slonim | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| BATE II | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slonim sit 5th in 1. Division (36 points from 21 matches) and BATE II sit 17th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slonim | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Slonim | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 36 |
| 14 | BATE II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 11 |
| 17 | BATE II | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 49 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slonim vs BATE II?
- The Footlab model makes Slonim the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for BATE II.
- Where and when is Slonim vs BATE II played?
- Slonim vs BATE II is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Yunatstva, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.