FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Ostrovets FC: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 32Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, Minsk
The Footlab model makes FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Ostrovets FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Ostrovets FC?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk (1,460) and Ostrovets FC (1,404).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ostrovets FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lida(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Niva(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ostrovets FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Ostrovets FC 1-1 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2024 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-1 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Ostrovets FC 1-0 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-3 Ostrovets FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2023 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 4-1 Ostrovets FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 4, 2023 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 2-1 Ostrovets FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Ostrovets FC vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk sit 4th in 1. Division (38 points from 21 matches) and Ostrovets FC sit 12th (24 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 38 |
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Ostrovets FC?
- The Footlab model makes FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Ostrovets FC.
- Where and when is FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Ostrovets FC played?
- FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Ostrovets FC is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen RTsOP-BGU, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.