Bumprom vs Gomel II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 32Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Gomel II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumprom vs Gomel II?
Bumprom starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (1,493 vs 1,263).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumprom have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gomel II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volna(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bumprom win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Gomel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gomel II 1-1 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Bumprom 3-1 Gomel II | 1. Division |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Gomel II 1-1 Bumprom | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Bumprom score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gomel II score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumprom | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Gomel II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumprom sit 7th in 1. Division (34 points from 21 matches) and Gomel II sit 16th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bumprom | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 34 |
| 15 | Gomel II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Gomel II | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumprom vs Gomel II?
- The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Gomel II.
- Where and when is Bumprom vs Gomel II played?
- Bumprom vs Gomel II is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.