Lida vs BATE II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 32Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Start, Lida
The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for BATE II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lida vs BATE II?
Lida starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,502 vs 1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lida have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; BATE II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niva(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Volna(home) | 5-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Lida win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 BATE II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | BATE II 1-4 Lida | 1. Division |
| Oct 12, 2025 | BATE II 2-1 Lida | 1. Division |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Lida 2-2 BATE II | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Lida 2-0 BATE II | 1. Division |
| May 24, 2024 | BATE II 1-1 Lida | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lida score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; BATE II score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lida | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| BATE II | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lida sit 3rd in 1. Division (39 points from 21 matches) and BATE II sit 17th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 5 | Lida | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
| 14 | BATE II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 11 |
| 17 | BATE II | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 49 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lida vs BATE II?
- The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for BATE II.
- Where and when is Lida vs BATE II played?
- Lida vs BATE II is played on November 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Start, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.