FC Gießen vs Hummetroth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Gießen, Gießen
The Footlab model makes FC Gießen the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Hummetroth. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Gießen vs Hummetroth?
FC Gießen starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Gießen have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hummetroth have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Gießen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hummetroth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Gießen 2-0 Hummetroth | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Hummetroth 3-0 FC Gießen | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: FC Gießen vs Hummetroth on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Gießen score 1.2 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hummetroth score 1.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Gießen | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hummetroth | 1.9 | 2.6 | 0 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Gießen sit 15th in Oberliga - Hessen (3 points from 5 matches) and Hummetroth sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | FC Gießen | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 17 | Hummetroth | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Gießen vs Hummetroth?
- The Footlab model makes FC Gießen the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Hummetroth.
- Where and when is FC Gießen vs Hummetroth played?
- FC Gießen vs Hummetroth is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Gießen, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Baunatalvs1960 Hanau
- Oct 10, 2026FriedbergvsBayern Alzenau
- Oct 10, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsKassel 2
- Oct 10, 2026Unter-FlockenbachvsHünfelder SV
- Oct 10, 2026HadamarvsVfb Marburg
- Oct 11, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Oct 11, 2026KasselvsFernwald
- Oct 11, 2026Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsEddersheim