Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Bayern Alzenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,789) and Bayern Alzenau (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bayern Alzenau have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fernwald(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Friedberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Bayern Alzenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Friedberg 1-3 Bayern Alzenau | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Friedberg 0-1 Bayern Alzenau | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Bayern Alzenau 3-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Bayern Alzenau 3-0 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Friedberg 0-2 Bayern Alzenau | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Bayern Alzenau 0-0 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern Alzenau score 2.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Bayern Alzenau | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Bayern Alzenau sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Bayern Alzenau | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau?
- The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Bayern Alzenau.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau played?
- Friedberg vs Bayern Alzenau is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.