Hadamar vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Hadamar-Niederhadamar, Hadamar
The Footlab model makes Hadamar the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hadamar vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Hadamar (1,708) and Vfb Marburg (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hadamar have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Friedberg(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Hadamar score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hadamar | 2.2 | 2.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hadamar sit 4th in Oberliga - Hessen (11 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hadamar | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hadamar vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes Hadamar the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Vfb Marburg.
- Where and when is Hadamar vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Hadamar vs Vfb Marburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Hadamar-Niederhadamar, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026FC GießenvsHummetroth
- Oct 10, 2026Baunatalvs1960 Hanau
- Oct 10, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsKassel 2
- Oct 10, 2026FriedbergvsBayern Alzenau
- Oct 10, 2026Unter-FlockenbachvsHünfelder SV
- Oct 11, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsEintracht Stadtallendorf
- Oct 11, 2026KasselvsFernwald
- Oct 11, 2026Rot-Weiß WalldorfvsEddersheim