FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Viktoria Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt
The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Viktoria Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Viktoria Köln?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925) and FC Viktoria Köln (1,905).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; FC Viktoria Köln have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FC Viktoria Köln win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 31, 2025 | FC Viktoria Köln 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 3-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 22, 2024 | FC Viktoria Köln 4-4 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-3 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2023 | FC Viktoria Köln 1-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Viktoria Köln on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Viktoria Köln?
- The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Viktoria Köln.
- Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Viktoria Köln played?
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Viktoria Köln is played on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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