Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 55%, against 19% for a draw and 26% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (1,983) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC St. Pauli(home) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havelse(home) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hansa Rostock win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Hansa Rostock 3-2 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen 3-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Hansa Rostock 4-0 Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 55%, against 19% for a draw and 26% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
- Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
- Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 2, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsAlemannia Aachen
- Mar 2, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsStuttgart II
- Mar 2, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsFC Viktoria Köln
- Mar 2, 2027MSV DuisburgvsSV Wehen
- Mar 2, 2027Würzburger KickersvsVerl
- Mar 2, 2027Preußen MünstervsWaldhof Mannheim
- Mar 2, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsFC Saarbrücken
- Mar 2, 2027SV MeppenvsHoffenheim II