Match

Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock

Hansa RostockRot-Weiß Essen

The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 55%, against 19% for a draw and 26% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (1,983) and Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974).

Hansa Rostock win55 %
Draw19 %
Rot-Weiß Essen win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rot-Weiß Essen have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hansa Rostock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(home)3-33. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Hoffenheim II(away)3-23. Liga
Aug 2, 2026Neustrelitz(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Havelse(home)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)2-53. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hansa Rostock win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Hansa Rostock 3-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Sep 20, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 3-0 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
Apr 6, 2025Rot-Weiß Essen 2-1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
Oct 26, 2024Hansa Rostock 4-0 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hansa Rostock2.52.1310/1513/15
Rot-Weiß Essen2.12.157/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Hansa Rostock2110654
14Rot-Weiß Essen2101353

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 55%, against 19% for a draw and 26% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen played?
Hansa Rostock vs Rot-Weiß Essen is played on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hansa Rostock and Rot-Weiß Essen

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