FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Höhenberg, Köln
The Footlab model makes FC Viktoria Köln the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate FC Viktoria Köln (1,905) and FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Viktoria Köln have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(home) | 2-5 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Preußen Münster(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(home) | 2-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Viktoria Köln win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-2 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 31, 2025 | FC Viktoria Köln 3-1 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | FC Ingolstadt 04 3-1 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 22, 2024 | FC Viktoria Köln 4-4 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
| Mar 3, 2024 | FC Ingolstadt 04 1-3 FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga |
| Oct 3, 2023 | FC Viktoria Köln 1-0 FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs FC Viktoria Köln on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Viktoria Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Viktoria Köln sit 10th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
- The Footlab model makes FC Viktoria Köln the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
- Where and when is FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
- FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Höhenberg, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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