MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen?
MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,860).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Verl(away) | 4-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Meppen(home) | 3-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Würzburger Kickers(away) | 0-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Preußen Münster(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SV Wehen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | SV Wehen 6-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | MSV Duisburg 3-1 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Apr 22, 2023 | MSV Duisburg 1-1 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
| Oct 28, 2022 | SV Wehen 1-3 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Jan 29, 2022 | SV Wehen 0-1 MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga |
| Aug 25, 2021 | MSV Duisburg 0-2 SV Wehen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSV Duisburg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| SV Wehen | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen?
- The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for SV Wehen.
- Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen played?
- MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen is played on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 2, 2027Fortuna DüsseldorfvsAlemannia Aachen
- Mar 2, 2027SSV Jahn RegensburgvsStuttgart II
- Mar 2, 2027FC Ingolstadt 04vsFC Viktoria Köln
- Mar 2, 2027Würzburger KickersvsVerl
- Mar 2, 2027Preußen MünstervsWaldhof Mannheim
- Mar 2, 2027SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsFC Saarbrücken
- Mar 2, 2027SV MeppenvsHoffenheim II
- Mar 2, 2027Hansa RostockvsRot-Weiß Essen