Match

MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, Duisburg

MSV DuisburgSV Wehen

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for SV Wehen. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen?

MSV Duisburg starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,860).

MSV Duisburg win64 %
Draw21 %
SV Wehen win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSV Duisburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SV Wehen have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Verl(away)4-23. Liga
Aug 8, 2026SV Meppen(home)3-03. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
SV Wehen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)0-4DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Würzburger Kickers(away)0-43. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Preußen Münster(home)1-33. Liga
Aug 1, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Bayern München(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 MSV Duisburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SV Wehen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026SV Wehen 6-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Sep 13, 2025MSV Duisburg 3-1 SV Wehen3. Liga
Apr 22, 2023MSV Duisburg 1-1 SV Wehen3. Liga
Oct 28, 2022SV Wehen 1-3 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Jan 29, 2022SV Wehen 0-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Aug 25, 2021MSV Duisburg 0-2 SV Wehen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SV Wehen score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MSV Duisburg1.81.3410/159/15
SV Wehen1.12.328/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MSV Duisburg sit 1st in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and SV Wehen sit 20th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg2200726
20SV Wehen2002170

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen?
The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for SV Wehen.
Where and when is MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen played?
MSV Duisburg vs SV Wehen is played on March 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: MSV Duisburg and SV Wehen

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