Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Köln played?

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Köln is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04

Fortuna Köln

The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Köln?

Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,037 vs 1,924).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win33 %

Draw24 %

Fortuna Köln win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(home)	2-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Palermo(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Fortuna Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(home)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)	0-1	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	VVV Venlo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Borussia M'gladbach II(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 04	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15
Fortuna Köln	1.7	1.1	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
16	Fortuna Köln	2	0	1	1	1	2	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Köln?: The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Köln played?: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Köln is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.