Hansa Rostock vs Verl: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ostseestadion, Rostock
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Verl. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Verl?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Hansa Rostock (1,983) and Verl (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Verl have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 0-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 2-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-4 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 6-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hansa Rostock win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Verl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Verl 1-2 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 2-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 4-0 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Verl 1-0 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Feb 5, 2021 | Hansa Rostock 3-2 Verl | 3. Liga |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Verl 2-3 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Verl | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hansa Rostock sit 6th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 19 | Verl | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock vs Verl?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Verl.
- Where and when is Hansa Rostock vs Verl played?
- Hansa Rostock vs Verl is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ostseestadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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