Match

SV Meppen vs FC Ingolstadt 04: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hänsch-Arena, Meppen

SV MeppenFC Ingolstadt 04

The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for FC Ingolstadt 04. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Meppen vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

SV Meppen starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (2,108 vs 1,925).

SV Meppen win63 %
Draw20 %
FC Ingolstadt 04 win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Meppen have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Meppen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home)2-03. Liga
Aug 8, 2026MSV Duisburg(away)0-33. Liga
Jul 25, 2026Schalke 04 II(home)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026St. Pauli II(home)4-2Regionalliga - Nord
FC Ingolstadt 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Preußen Münster(away)1-13. Liga
Aug 8, 2026Würzburger Kickers(home)2-23. Liga
Aug 1, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Palermo(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SV Meppen win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 9, 2023SV Meppen 0-3 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Oct 15, 2022FC Ingolstadt 04 3-1 SV Meppen3. Liga
Apr 18, 2021FC Ingolstadt 04 0-0 SV Meppen3. Liga
Nov 30, 2020SV Meppen 2-0 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Jun 28, 2020SV Meppen 0-2 FC Ingolstadt 043. Liga
Dec 1, 2019FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 SV Meppen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: SV Meppen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Apr 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SV Meppen score 3.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SV Meppen3.11.168/1513/15
FC Ingolstadt 041.61.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SV Meppen sit 12th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SV Meppen2101233
15FC Ingolstadt 042020332

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Meppen vs FC Ingolstadt 04?
The Footlab model makes SV Meppen the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for FC Ingolstadt 04.
Where and when is SV Meppen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 played?
SV Meppen vs FC Ingolstadt 04 is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hänsch-Arena, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SV Meppen and FC Ingolstadt 04

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