Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaMatchday 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß EssenMSV Duisburg

The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for MSV Duisburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rot-Weiß Essen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,055 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (2,063) and MSV Duisburg (2,102).

45%25%30%
Rot-Weiß Essen winDrawMSV Duisburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Rot-Weiß Essen

4-2-3-1
  1. 20M. Janssen
  1. 22J. Sietan
  2. 11Noah Pesch
  3. 18D. Abiama
  4. 14L. Brumme
  5. 16R. Reisig
  1. 23J. Ríos Alonso
  2. 15Ben Vincent Hüning
  3. 19F. Bouebari
  4. 37J. Hofmann
  1. 1J. Golz

MSV Duisburg

3-4-3
  1. 11D. Kother
  2. 14C. Noß
  3. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 8A. Casar
  3. 20N. Jessen
  4. 27C. Coşkun
  1. 40B. Schlicke
  2. 29J. Bitter
  3. 5T. Fleckstein
  1. 1M. Braune

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Alemannia Aachen(home)1-03. Liga
Nov 1, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)1-03. Liga
Oct 27, 2026RB Leipzig(home)1-2DFB Pokal
Oct 23, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(home)1-03. Liga
Oct 17, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)0-13. Liga
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Preußen Münster(away)2-13. Liga
Oct 31, 2026Stuttgart II(home)3-33. Liga
Oct 24, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(away)1-23. Liga
Oct 18, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(home)1-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rot-Weiß Essen wins, 3 draws, 0 MSV Duisburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Oct 26, 2025MSV Duisburg 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Apr 7, 2024Rot-Weiß Essen 4-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Oct 28, 2023MSV Duisburg 1-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga
Feb 5, 2023Rot-Weiß Essen 1-1 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Aug 5, 2022MSV Duisburg 2-2 Rot-Weiß Essen3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen1.60.886/155/15
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 3rd in 3. Liga (27 points from 13 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 2nd (29 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2MSV Duisburg13922331829
3Rot-Weiß Essen13832211327

A question about Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab AI model makes Rot-Weiß Essen the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for MSV Duisburg.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg played?
Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rot-Weiß Essen and MSV Duisburg