Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg played?

Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Hafenstraße, Essen

Rot-Weiß Essen

MSV Duisburg

The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Rot-Weiß Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Rot-Weiß Essen (1,974) and MSV Duisburg (2,032).

Rot-Weiß Essen win35 %

Draw24 %

MSV Duisburg win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rot-Weiß Essen have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rot-Weiß Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Havelse(home)	1-0	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	2-5	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

MSV Duisburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Elversberg(home)	1-3	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Verl(away)	4-2	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Meppen(home)	3-0	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Sparta Rotterdam(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rot-Weiß Essen win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 MSV Duisburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen 1-0 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Oct 26, 2025	MSV Duisburg 1-1 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Apr 7, 2024	Rot-Weiß Essen 4-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Oct 28, 2023	MSV Duisburg 1-2 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga
Feb 5, 2023	Rot-Weiß Essen 1-1 MSV Duisburg	3. Liga
Aug 5, 2022	MSV Duisburg 2-2 Rot-Weiß Essen	3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rot-Weiß Essen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rot-Weiß Essen	2.1	2.1	5	7/15	10/15
MSV Duisburg	1.8	1.3	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rot-Weiß Essen sit 14th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	2	1	0	1	3	5	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg?: The Footlab model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Rot-Weiß Essen.
Where and when is Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg played?: Rot-Weiß Essen vs MSV Duisburg is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Hafenstraße, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.