Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hansa Rostock played?

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hansa Rostock is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Audi-Sportpark, Ingolstadt

FC Ingolstadt 04

Hansa Rostock

The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Hansa Rostock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hansa Rostock?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate FC Ingolstadt 04 (1,924) and Hansa Rostock (1,983).

FC Ingolstadt 04 win41 %

Draw23 %

Hansa Rostock win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ingolstadt 04 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ingolstadt 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	1-1	3. Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(home)	2-2	3. Liga
Aug 1, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	RB Leipzig(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Palermo(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Hansa Rostock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	VfB Stuttgart(home)	0-4	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(home)	3-3	3. Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Hoffenheim II(away)	3-2	3. Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Neustrelitz(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Ingolstadt 04 win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hansa Rostock win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Hansa Rostock 0-3 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Aug 24, 2025	FC Ingolstadt 04 1-1 Hansa Rostock	3. Liga
Mar 8, 2025	Hansa Rostock 2-0 FC Ingolstadt 04	3. Liga
Sep 29, 2024	FC Ingolstadt 04 2-1 Hansa Rostock	3. Liga
May 7, 2022	FC Ingolstadt 04 0-0 Hansa Rostock	2. Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2021	Hansa Rostock 1-1 FC Ingolstadt 04	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hansa Rostock vs FC Ingolstadt 04 on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ingolstadt 04 score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ingolstadt 04	1.6	1.5	4	8/15	8/15
Hansa Rostock	2.5	2.1	3	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ingolstadt 04 sit 15th in 3. Liga (2 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Hansa Rostock	2	1	1	0	6	5	4
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hansa Rostock?: The Footlab model makes FC Ingolstadt 04 the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Hansa Rostock.
Where and when is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hansa Rostock played?: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hansa Rostock is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Audi-Sportpark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.