Match

FC Saarbrücken vs Verl: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ludwigspark, Saarbrücken

FC SaarbrückenVerl

The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Verl. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Saarbrücken vs Verl?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate FC Saarbrücken (1,911) and Verl (1,952).

FC Saarbrücken win46 %
Draw24 %
Verl win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Saarbrücken have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Verl have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Saarbrücken
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hertha BSC(home)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)1-03. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(home)5-23. Liga
Jul 26, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026FC Augsburg(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Verl
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hamburger SV(home)0-3DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)2-43. Liga
Aug 9, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-43. Liga
Aug 1, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026Bremer SV(home)6-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Saarbrücken win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Verl win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Verl 3-0 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Oct 18, 2025FC Saarbrücken 2-4 Verl3. Liga
May 3, 2025FC Saarbrücken 4-3 Verl3. Liga
Dec 6, 2024Verl 1-1 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Jan 23, 2024Verl 0-0 FC Saarbrücken3. Liga
Aug 23, 2023FC Saarbrücken 4-3 Verl3. Liga

Last archived meeting: Verl vs FC Saarbrücken on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Verl score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Saarbrücken1.51.359/155/15
Verl1.51.746/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd in 3. Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Verl sit 19th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Saarbrücken2200626
19Verl2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Saarbrücken vs Verl?
The Footlab model makes FC Saarbrücken the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Verl.
Where and when is FC Saarbrücken vs Verl played?
FC Saarbrücken vs Verl is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ludwigspark, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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