Match

Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg: prediction and stats

3. LigaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln

Fortuna KölnMSV Duisburg

The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Fortuna Köln. The most likely score is 1-1. If MSV Duisburg wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg?

On Elo ratings, Fortuna Köln has 2,005 points and MSV Duisburg 2,090.

27%23%50%
Fortuna Köln winDrawMSV Duisburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fortuna Köln

4-3-3
  1. 7N. Thier
  2. 30Romeo Aigbekaen
  3. 9E. Wirtz
  1. 38Bennit Bröger
  2. 11G. Strauch
  3. 6T. Geerkens
  1. 3M. Fischer
  2. 5Seymour Funger
  3. 2Kevin Krumme
  4. 31Neo Telle
  1. 1L. Winkler

MSV Duisburg

5-4-1
  1. 9L. Lobinger
  1. 6R. Bulić
  2. 11D. Kother
  3. 14C. Noß
  4. 8A. Casar
  1. 5T. Fleckstein
  2. 40B. Schlicke
  3. 29J. Bitter
  4. 3F. Christensen
  5. 20N. Jessen
  1. 1M. Braune

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; MSV Duisburg have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fortuna Köln
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Stuttgart II(home)0-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-23. Liga
Oct 10, 2026FC Saarbrücken(home)0-03. Liga
Sep 25, 2026Havelse(away)3-13. Liga
Sep 16, 2026SV Wehen(home)0-23. Liga
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026FC Viktoria Köln(home)1-13. Liga
Oct 13, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)4-23. Liga
Oct 10, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-23. Liga
Sep 20, 2026SV Wehen(away)4-13. Liga
Sep 15, 2026Havelse(home)2-13. Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln wins, 2 draws, 4 MSV Duisburg wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2025MSV Duisburg 2-0 Fortuna KölnRegionalliga - West
Sep 14, 2024Fortuna Köln 0-0 MSV DuisburgRegionalliga - West
Jul 14, 2023Fortuna Köln 0-1 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs
Jan 7, 2022Fortuna Köln 2-2 MSV DuisburgFriendlies Clubs
May 13, 2017Fortuna Köln 0-3 MSV Duisburg3. Liga
Dec 10, 2016MSV Duisburg 2-0 Fortuna Köln3. Liga

Last archived meeting: MSV Duisburg vs Fortuna Köln on Mar 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Fortuna Köln score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; MSV Duisburg score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fortuna Köln1.21.056/156/15
MSV Duisburg2.31.4312/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fortuna Köln sit 18th in 3. Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and MSV Duisburg sit 1st (25 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1MSV Duisburg10811271225
18Fortuna Köln1024481110

A question about Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg?
The Footlab AI model makes MSV Duisburg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Fortuna Köln.
Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg played?
Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fortuna Köln and MSV Duisburg

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